Changing Jobs

February 6, 2012 at 6:45 pm | Posted in Economoney, Media, Online services, Technology, Writing | 9 Comments

Thomas Frey is a Futurist. In studying trends, he has projected that half of all current jobs (2 billion) will disappear by 2030, well within the working lives of people now in school. To explain related statements he made at a TED talk in Istanbul, he wrote this article.

One trend, for example, is localized energy production. He doesn’t give examples of the technology but another TED talk by Justin Hall-Tipping does. This means that all the jobs related to power generation plants, running and maintaining electrical grids, shipping coal, even bio-fuel & wind farms, all gone. And with them all those overhead wires. In its place there will be the manufacture of local power units and storage, the dis-assembly of the current grid, and so forth.

Driverless cars is another trend. Impossible? There are now self-parking cars on the mainstream market.

Exit numerous teachers and professors with OpenCourseWare. Over 900 million downloads of free courses from MIT, Khan and Apple have already happened. Harvard, Stanford, Berkeley, and other name-brand schools have hundreds of courses available. Credit is often an option.

3D printing of clothes. Custom-made clothes that fit perfectly, produced in your home? He also talks about robots replacing manual labour.

Certainly a thought-provoking read. What actually plays out will of course be another surprise, but it gives you an idea of changes in the wings.
David

9 Comments »

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

  1. […] this year, I wrote about some of the long-term changes taking place in the job market due to technological change. Since I wrote that, some of that technology has begun to show […]

    Like

  2. […] This process can actually be expected to accelerate as I discussed in Changing Jobs. […]

    Like

  3. […] We are also in the middle of technology changes that will accelerate the obsolescence of perhaps half our present jobs, including things people are training years for […]

    Like

  4. His 2014 hot topics review:
    http://www.futuristspeaker.com/2014/12/top-10-most-influential-columns-in-2014/

    Like

  5. A related article on Robotics

    Like

  6. […] in the effects of technological revolution and you lose the need for full employment. Without work in our culture, you loose your role in […]

    Like

  7. […] mean a cleaner environment and lower cost energy and transportation. But there will be a lot of job changes in the […]

    Like

  8. Another article on the changes AI may bring in the near furture
    http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2017/10/you-will-lose-your-job-to-a-robot-and-sooner-than-you-think/

    Like

  9. […] Periodically, I write about trends in work and the economy. For example, The New Unemployed or Changing Jobs. […]

    Like


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.
Entries and comments feeds.